Moving Averages: What They Show You
How moving averages smooth out price noise and reveal trend direction. We'll cover simple and exponential averages, and how to use them without overthinking.
The RSI measures momentum. Learn what overbought and oversold mean, and why they're not signals to act on.
The Relative Strength Index—RSI for short—measures how fast prices are moving and how strong that movement is. It's one of the oldest momentum indicators around, created back in 1978 by J. Welles Wilder Jr. You'll find it on almost every trading platform today.
Here's the thing: RSI doesn't tell you which direction the price will go. It tells you whether the current move has gotten too extreme in either direction. Think of it like checking your heart rate during exercise—a high reading means you're working hard, not that you're about to sprint faster.
RSI measures on a scale from 0 to 100. Most traders watch for two levels: 70 and 30. When RSI climbs above 70, it's considered overbought—the price has moved up really fast, really far. When it drops below 30, it's oversold—the opposite.
The calculation itself uses average gains and losses over a period—usually 14 bars or days, though you can change that. Don't worry about doing the math yourself. Your charting software handles it automatically.
What matters is understanding what those numbers mean. A reading of 80 doesn't automatically mean "sell now." It means momentum has been strong upward. Sometimes that momentum keeps going. Sometimes it doesn't.
Here's where people get confused. "Overbought" doesn't mean the price is too high or will definitely drop. It means buyers have been aggressive and consistent. They've pushed the price up quickly.
In a strong uptrend, RSI can stay above 70 for weeks. That's not a sign the trend's ending. That's a sign the trend is real and strong. You'll see this in bull markets—the RSI sits in that "overbought" zone for extended periods while prices keep rising.
The same goes for oversold readings. During downtrends, RSI spends time below 30 while prices fall further. Oversold doesn't mean "bounce is coming." It means selling pressure is intense.
Divergence happens when price and RSI disagree. Say the price makes a new high, but RSI doesn't. That's called bearish divergence—it can signal weakening momentum.
Bullish divergence works the opposite way. Price makes a new low, but RSI doesn't go as low as before. That suggests selling pressure might be fading.
Divergence is more useful than overbought/oversold levels. It actually shows something changing. You're seeing that momentum and price aren't moving together anymore. That's worth paying attention to.
Don't treat RSI levels as automatic buy or sell signals. That's the biggest mistake. Instead, use RSI to understand momentum context. In an uptrend with high RSI? That trend is strong. Don't assume it's ending.
Watch for divergence when RSI is at extreme levels. That combination—a divergence that happens near 70 or 30—becomes more meaningful. You're seeing momentum change at a moment when momentum was supposedly very strong.
Combine RSI with other analysis. Price action matters. Support and resistance matter. Trend direction matters. RSI is one piece, not the whole picture.
RSI is useful for understanding momentum. It's not useful for telling you exactly when to buy or sell. That's an important distinction. You'll find it on nearly every platform, and it's worth learning how to read it properly.
The key is avoiding the trap of thinking extreme readings are automatic signals. They're not. They're context. What matters is how RSI behaves relative to price action and how divergences develop. That's where the real information lives.
Use RSI as part of your broader analysis. Combine it with other indicators and price patterns. And remember—momentum and price movement aren't the same thing. Understanding that difference will make you a better analyst.
This article is educational material about technical analysis concepts. It doesn't constitute trading advice, investment recommendations, or signals to buy or sell. Market analysis requires considering multiple factors, risk tolerance, and individual circumstances. Past patterns don't guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting with financial professionals before making trading decisions.